Monday, March 10, 2008

Bad Week?

Everyone in the press is saying that Barack Obama had a bad week last week, that Hillary Clinton staged a comeback. But if you sit down and do the delegate arithmetic, you might reach a different conclusion.

On Tuesday, Obama had a net loss of 6 delegates in the four primaries.*

On Thursday, the final California primary results showed that Obama gained 8 delegates over previous estimates.**

On Saturday, Obama won Wyoming, with a net gain of 2 delegates.

And finally, throughout the week, Obama picked up a net gain of 9 super-delegate endorsements.***

The final tally from Obama's bad week? He netted 4 pledged delegates and 9 super-delegates, increasing his lead by 13.

At this point, Hillary must surely be thinking the words of Pyrrhus: "One more such victory will undo me."

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* He lost 9 in Ohio, lost 5 in Rhode Island, gained 5 in Texas, and gained 3 in Vermont.

** He won 4 more than expected, she won 4 fewer than expected.

*** Obama got 13: Carol Fowler, Mary Long, and Roy LaVerne Brooks on 3/4; Rhine McLin and Jane Kidd on 3/5; Connie Thurman, Nick Rahall, and Teresa Benitez-Thompson on 3/6; Alexandra Gallardo-Rooker on 3/7; Bill Foster, Mary Jo Neville, and Joyce Brayboy on 3/9. Clinton got 4: Barbara Boxer and Mona Mohib on 3/6; Aleita Huguenin on 3/7; Mary Lou Winters on 3/8.

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